By Relmor Demitrius -
The year 2008 proved to be a very educational one for the average investor. Due to the stock market downtrend, bank failures, and emergency FED meetings galore, we learned some interesting diction during this economic downturn. Stagflation, inflation, deflation, recession, depression, V shaped corrections, W shaped corrections, FED rates, LIBOR rates, and what the hell is a CDO? What is the boom/bust cycle? What are cyclical stocks? Value stocks? All these concepts and words were being thrown around by so called “experts” on every news TV show to every financial bog and newspaper in the country. The amount of half truths, misinformation, and just plain fear mongering was staggering. I think as time has passed, and a clear mind can now be used to refocus on some of these past events, terms, and concepts. We can use this to better understand where to put your money a year from now, or even tomorrow. But first, you have to understand the animal.
At the core of all of this is having a basic understanding of the economic and monetary rules that are applicable to today’s world. At the very core, the first concept that must be understood is what is fiat currency, the current monetary system we are using today.
Fiat currency is a currency that is backed by nothing, and measurable only to other currencies. This is where the term “floating currency” comes from, which means it is only “floating” in apparent value up or down in comparison to other currencies currently backed by nothing. The Euro, Yuan, Ruble, and most major foreign currencies are indeed backed by nothing but a promise. In effect they are not assets, they are simply a way to pay debt. Since we live in a world of debt, they should always have a use, however. In 1941, with the creation of the Taft-Hartley Act, which Nixon revoked, we were on a limited gold standard. When the U.S. dollar was implemented as the worlds reserve currency, we promised that an exchange for gold would always be possible. Well in August of 1971, Nixon said, No more. The dollar can no longer be redeemed for gold. Costly war expenses, innovations in modern banking, and other factors lead to a huge influx in the money supply. There soon simply wasn’t going to be enough gold to give out, if so demanded.
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