LCAPB Archive

3

Sirius XM (NASDAQ:SIRI) Breakout Continues

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By Andrew Montero

 

Sirius XM continues to impress post 1st Quarter conference call with a new 52
week high of $2.36 a share as well as a new closing high of $ 2.35 cents.  Short
interest was up according to the April 29th information released yesterday.  So what is driving Sirius XM higher?  Could it be that spectrum, an all too scarce commodity, is much higher in terms of valuation today than it was just 4 or 5 years ago?

I have taken the opportunity to pull some info from some FCC filings regarding spectrum use and build out requirements as well as licensing.  You can see the screen shots here;

 

(Click images to enlarge)

Interesting information isn’t it ! I found it quite exciting myself in doing my research on Sirius XM, Dish Network (NASDAQ:DISH) and Liberty NASDAQ:LCAPA) since all three now have representation on the Sirius XM Board of Directors. I believe Echostar Broadcasting will be the centerpiece of the future for all three companies.  As I have said many times previously, nothing can get in the way of lies and deceipt like some good old fashioned facts.  It would seem a clearer picture is emerging as to what the future may hold for Sirius XM, Dish Network and Liberty Media, and the lack of good reliable and available  information may indeed wind up costing some folks quite a bit of money.  As always, I recommend investors do their own due dilligence and verify it against the other information they have out there. The future for these companies holds much promise.  Beware of wolves in sheeps clothing,  The Powerbrokers make money by knowing what is happening before everyone else.  Know the players…..know the game……get your information from the Lions  who roar so everyone can hear.

Disclosure: Long Siri, no position in any other stocks mentioned at this time

7

SIRIUS XM, Liberty Media and DISH…..Pt 2

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In my last article I concentrated on why I was so excited to see a DISH(NASDAQ:DISH) Network executive on the Sirius XM Board after being recently appointed. Having given you an idea of how synergies can and will be achieved from a Dish perspective with Sirius XM(NASDAQ:SIRI), I will now explain how Liberty Media(NASDAQ:LCAPA) needed to be part of the picture.

DMX Music Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Liberty Media Corp. DMX offers media and music production and distribution services for the music and entertainment,
advertising and marketing industries. The company is international leader in
multi-sensory branding, DMX has been creating unforgettable brand experiences
for commercial environments since 1971. The first music service to license and
program original artist music, DMX has rigorously researched and tested the
effects of music, video, messaging and scent on human behavior. By integrating
them into a single compelling experience, DMX helps clients drive repeat business
and build brand loyalty with the consumer.

Sonic Tap is a DMX project whose digital music service is touted as the future of music discovery. Sonic Tap does the work for you, compiling playlists from millions of DRM free songs for every mood, atmosphere, environment or experience. Sonic Tap claims that no matter what type of music you like or what you need music for, their staff of Pros has created the perfect playlist. For those of you who do not remember, Direct TV dropped Sirius XM on its programming in favor of Sonic Tap back in 2009. Liberty, through DMX and sonic tap, has had a listening audience of over 300 million people worldwide for music. They have the technical and legal experts as well as some licensing needed to make a smooth transition and expansion to other markets and streamlined operations.

In any event, as you can see if you read part one of my 2 part article, there are some interesting possibilities relating to synergies between Sirius XM, DISH Network and Liberty Media now that cannot be simply coincidence. We have seen Sirius XM in recent months become much more aggressive in distinguishing its internet radio service from the satellite service. We have seen Sirius XM add value with internet only channels as well as adding Howard Stern to the premium internet experience if that is your primary subscription. We have heard of Teleca doing work on the new edition of Sirius XMs digital library which should be a part of the 2.0
launch. We have seen ROVI providing services to Sirius XM, and recently we have seen a Board Member from DISH network come to Sirius XM as well as a former Cable company executive.

What we are also witnessing is consolidation of Sirius XMs satellite spectrum. The company appears to be much further along to this regard than previously anticipated, as the new channel lineup starting May 4th suggests. Freeing up the NGSO Sirius satellites and a good portion of their spectrum appears to be the direction the company is taking. This will mean that the Sirius NGSO satellites
and their associated orbital slots in the short order, perhaps months, will have room for expansion of services in the future. Perhaps this will tie in with the DISH/DBSD situation. We now have three companies who all use satellites and satellite technology to broadcast their medium of media entertainment sitting on the Sirius XM board. In my revue of these companies, there are several overlaps in content and capabilities on a large scale that can be shared thereby reducing costs and CAPEX across all three companies. They also can share technology in a synergistic fashion which will reduce R&D costs to all three companies, and
finally, combined, this new media team will be able to capture a large portion of the social network through its dynamic lineup of programming and features which will be leveraged across home and mobile gateways and any future technologies as they become available. Please feel free to ask any questions you may have after reading the article.

Disclosure: Long Siri, no positions in any other company mentioned at this time

18

Sirius XM (NASDAQ:SIRI) Beats But Can’t Win

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Sirius XM By Steve Garcia

Today Sirius XM (NASDAQ:SIRI) CEO Mel Karmazin gave the company’s Q1 2010 results.  Among the metrics was a 1 cent positive earnings per share (EPS).  Karmazin also let it be known that as of last week’s numbers, Sirius XM had over 19 million subscribers already this year, with just a third of the 2nd quarter complete.  The company is also among the top 8% of NASDAQ stocks based on Market Cap.  Mel also let shareholders know that delisting fears and the specter of a reverse split to satisfy those fears was over.  Sirius XM has also been able to pay off some debt; and reduce interest expense to a less than 9 % unsecured rate on the most recent debt re finance. The company, which struggled after the merger approval in 2008; and nearly went bankrupt in early 2009, continues to report an astounding turnaround quarter after quarter since obtaining a short term, though costly loan from Liberty Media and John Malone. The short term financing was costly in that it resulted in Liberty Media obtaining 40% of the company through the loan agreement. Sirius XM repaid all outstanding balances from that short term loan in a very timely fashion.

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15

The Dawn of a New Media Era as Defined by Liberty’s John Malone and Sirius XM’s Mel Karmazin

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By Rick King -a_sunrise_over_earth

Every few generations our culture finds new ways to define itself. Usually there is no stronger indicator of culture’s shifting winds than the music a generation listens to. The method in which a generation listens to its music defines it as well. Is it possible we are in the midst of exactly that? Another media revolution of transformation in the winds, from terrestrial radio and television broadcasters to satellite media?

The current population wants access to information everywhere and on demand.  Generation “Unlimited” has no concept of limitation.  They live in a world where information of every type is available at the speed of an electron in more forms than they can count.  Information and how it is channeled to a user permeates every aspect of business.  AM and FM Radio don’t work everywhere geographically so it’s fading.  Same thing for television, initially change came in the form of cable and now with continuing dominance by satellite media.

How many people still remember the world of no television?  Black and White television broadcast?  The days when AM radio was the mainstay of the American living room?  In every single instance of such change, critics denied the very possibility it could happen.  Emotions have always  run especially deep in American society when it comes to our music and how we listen to it.

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31

Worldspace De-Orbit in Lieu of Sale Contingency Plan Approved

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What is left of Worldspace (OTC BB: WRSPQ) was granted permission(docket #0962 dated 3/24/2010) on March 24th in a Delaware courtroom to either find a suitor for their satellites, or de-orbit them. Liberty Media (NSDQ: LCAPA, LBTYA) attorney representatives were present when the decision was made. Although the satellites are actually owned by Worldspace Satellite Company Limited (SATCO) a non debtor affiliate of Worldspace, the contingency relief sought by Worldspace in the petition filed on March 16th was accepted, in the event they are unable to sell the satellites off.

One way or another, this issue will come to final resolution soon. The long dragged out Bankruptcy has not done any justice to anyone. Especially not all the former listeners of Worldspace, some of whom were stuck when the service went bottoms up with pre paid services they can no longer use to listen to Worldspace and its content which they once enjoyed. Final decisions yet to be made, let’s hope the final chapter and closure to this situation is quickly upon us and not dragged along even more.