Apple Archive

2

The Future Of Digital Music (Part 1)

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By: Gino Lattarulo

boxingI am saddened  by the news that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) has purchased and is closing down the LALA.com website, which is an online music service that provided (free) the ability to upload your entire music library to their servers to have a cloud like iTunes experience.  That in itself is no big deal.  What really drew me to this web site was the cost structure to pay for music.  A person could sample music from whatever artist they wish and then have the choice of downloading the entire collection in mp3 form for around $ 7.00 ( .89 cents per song ) or purchase the entire collection exclusively for online use for about  $ 1.00  ( .10 cents per song).  For a geek like me who has strayed from the shackles of tangible hardware players (except for my XM radio (NASDAQ:SIRI) and almost exclusively listens to music on the web, this was a perfect arrangement.  I even have access to it in my car.  Take a Netbook , FM transmitter, and Satellite Internet card and you are done.  OK , so it isn’t CD quality stuff but it’s a small price to pay for an unlimited library of music.  How long do we think it is going to be before the touch screen PC is manufactured into vehicles for this exact reason?  Not very long once the networks have beefed up bandwidth to offset inconsistent buffering issues. In any case, I think we can all guess why Apple purchased this LALA company.  They are squashing any threat to iTunes.  Not that there is a huge contest of course.  iTunes is obviously the king of the digital download land but cloud formats are quickly becoming the new sheriff in town and they are here to stay.  If I had to hazard a guess, I think Apple wants to use this LALA cloud structure for the Itunes experience.   If they are smart, they will. And we all know they are.

Enter Grooveshark.com.

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0

Sirius XM Continues Its Pattern Of Consistency

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By: Gino Lattarulo

sirDo we have a hallelujah on Sirius XM Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI) staying above the $1.00 mark  yet?   I think it may be time.

There have been a lot of questions and speculation on why Sirius XM dropped after such a good earnings report.  I read articles that the report was not good enough, there was manipulation, etc.  Same old Same old.  I like to keep things simple.  In my humble reality (which is fairly dizzy)  the stock was simply overbought.  How many times have you seen a stock that was overbought  blow away earnings only to watch it plummet?  Conversely we have seen oversold stocks stink up the joint with their earnings report only to see the price action rise.  

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5

Motorola Back To Innovating with Droid Smart Phone and Google OS

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By Relmor Demitrius -

By now product reviews, projected sales information based in some reality, and media input aplenty is out on Motorola Inc.’s new smart phone (NYSE:MOT), the Droid.  The Droid was the first smart phone to utilize Google’s (NASDAQ:GOOG) new Android 2.0 operating system, introduced as a direct competitor to the Blackberry and Iphone operating systems, as well as the Palm, which is reportedly not doing well.  With any technology that has fans that are loyal to other products, getting a real feel for consumer sentiment on any new technology is risky at first, and best left instead to time.  Enough time has now passed for a good feel on this phone to be achieved.  Sales numbers appear to be decent to good.  The reviews on the phone itself are mixed, but mostly positive.  It has been as boldly called the Iphone Killer (which is ridiculous) to a washed up attempt to catch up in the smart phone space that is going to fail miserably(even more ridiculous). What is that old saying?  Somewhere in the middle lies the truth?  I think that is exactly the case here.

I don’t think the phone will be a failure, but the Droid has much competition, even within the same Android 2.0 market it uses to run its phone.  Since HTC offers the same operating system (OS) at the same dealers as does the Droid, there is competition even amongst the OS users themselves.  Imagine two very similar phones called the Blackberry and the Redberry, each phone basically the same.  Of course it would affect sales of the Blackberry.  Not only does Motorola have to compete with other smart phones, it has to compete with other smart phones running the same OS as they are.  Was Motorola blindsided when Google released and marketed heavily its version, the Nexus One?  Maybe, maybe not.  Would Motorola had done anything differently anyway?  Probably not.  Regardless, they did the right thing partnering with Google. 

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8

Sirius XM Radio Returns to Subscriber Growth During Brutal Economic Conditions

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By Relmor Demitrius -

Sirius XM Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI), which is 40% owned by Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LCAPA), achieved something few companies in their industry, if any, did in 2009:

They came out of 2009 in better financial shape and returned to subscriber growth during one of the most difficult economic periods possible. 2009 was a troubling time for the newly merged radio companies.  Huge debt obligations were due, the economy was in shambles, and the auto industry wasn’t selling enough cars.

What a difference a few quarters can make.

The satellite radio company entered the year with 19 million subscribers.  After losing 500,000 subscribers in Q1 and Q2 combined, they regained 105,000 back during Q3, reversing the trend.  That leaves them with around 400,000 subs under what they started the year with as of Q3.

Let’s run the numbers and see what Q4 will probably look like:

October through December auto sales totaled around 2,593,000 for the United States.  Penetration rate of the company’s products in these vehicles was going to be in the high 50′s, according to Mel Karmazin, CEO of Sirius XM Satellite Radio. Im going to assume 58%.  By this figure they should be adding (from the OEM channel) around 1,503,940 new subscribers, while losing around 1,053,000 from deactivations (assuming a 1.9% churn rate, lower than last quarters, but higher than Q4 of 2008).  Im giving credence to improved economic conditions, but also still accounting for a supressed economy.  1.9% churn should work for this calculation.  During the last 3 quarters churn has been 2.2%, 2.0%, and 2.0% respectively.  Assuming 1.9% in a traditionally strong churn quarter is fully reasonable given the conditions.

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4

Sirius XM Radio Turns a Corner, Upgrades Expected

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By Rick King -

Surprising investors – Sirius XM Radio (NASDAQ: SIRI), which hosts programming for Howard Stern, Rosie O’Donnell, Opie & Anthony, and Oprah Winfrey, anounced break-even earnings for the first time since the merger of Sirius and XM Radio this past year.  Wall Street had mainly expected a 2 cent loss and investors were waiting anxiously in the aisles this morning during it’s Q3 FY09 Conference Call.  Even through the difficult economic crisis of this past year, the company continues to show signs of continued growth as it improves its finances and minimizes operating costs each quarter.

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