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Ford Shares Down Slightly Last Week; 19 Percent Monthly Advance (NYSE:F)

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By Rick King -

Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) continued is monthly advance this past week, closing at $16.28 and gaining 19.35 % since this time last month.  This week’s technicals showed Ford continuing its 2-year upward trend after a choppy decline in early July with the rest of the markets.  This past week’s close saw a slight decline of $0.02 from the previous Friday’s close, although it saw a steeper decline within the week with a starting price on Monday at $16.80 with increased volume at 83.6 million shares traded, above it’s average.

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Sirius XM Rates A “Buy” – George Soros Jumps In

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By Gino Lattarulo

Last week Maxim Group initiated coverage of Sirius / XM (NASDAQ:SIRI) with a “buy” rating and a 1.40 price target. It appears that most analysts share Maxim’s upbeat opinion — Reporting site Zacks shows four “strong buys,” two “holds” and zero “sells”. Hedge Fund mogul George Soros got in on the action as well by purchasing 29 million convertible notes ( valued at 28 million). With 5.6% of SIRI’s float being short interest I think that some squeezing will begin to take effect in the near future as the bearish trades begin to unwind.

For Sirius, the real confidence comes not only from its debt issue being resolved by Liberty Media, but from increased subscriber sales fueled by the ever important auto sector which is once again experiencing growth. Ford (NYSE:F) , Toyota (NYSE:TM), Honda (NYSE:HMC), and the newly minted GM have all reported solid quarterly numbers with encouraging forward guidance.

The satellite radio subscriber base at the end of the second quarter was 19.5 million which is an increase of 6% over 2009.  Sirius expects to add another 1.1 million subscribers by the end of  2010, has generated higher average revenue per user,  and lowered costs to help fuel net profit.  Subscribers paid  $11.81 per month (11 % from the same quarter in 2009) due to demand for the “Best Of” programming. These strong results also show that the negative impact from free services may not be as high as expected as the company reiterated its annual estimates of $2.8 billion in revenue. It was the third straight quarter that  Sirius reported better than expected results.

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Sirius XM Chart Turns Bullish Again

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By: Gino Lattarulo

siriIn another bullish move, stock action on Sirius XM (NASDAQ:SIRI) has pushed through a daily triangle pattern that has been forming since May, further confirming the $1.00 support level.  We can also see that the price has moved back up through the 50 day Exponential Moving Average (red line)  while still maintaining a solid level above the 200 day Exponential Moving Average (purple line).  Of course, with earnings set to be released on Wednesday and the Non-Farm Payroll report coming out on Friday,  the question will be whether the stock will maintain a bullish trajectory.  Personally I think it will.  I think everyone including the Wall Street bears can agree that the economy will probably not experience a double dip.  Siri stock has been in the habit of marching to the beat of its own drum anyway and hasn’t really been following the dramatic swings in the market. Also, data from the National Auto Dealers Association (NADA) states that U.S. auto sales from the likes of Ford (NYSE:F) Toyota (NYSE:TM) and GM are projecting a 5.3% increase over last year and we already know that the Sirius/XM subscriber base is exponentially increasing at a nice rate.

Unless there is some great surprise in the earnings report, the stock action should follow the usual course of a triangle pattern break-out, which is to immediately re-test support before continuing on an upward path.  The next resistance level is $ 1.10 and a weekly close above the $ 1.25 resistance will open the door fairly well to the $ 2.00 mark.  There is no doubt in my mind that $ 2.00 is on the horizon within a year.

That’s a bold statement I know, and I may regret saying it. But what the hell, I’ve regretted  a lot of things this year. Like thinking congress might actually be mature enough to work together on this train wreck of an economy instead of flinging their own feces at each other like a bunch of chimpanzees.

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Are We On the Verge of a Spring Market Rally? Why I think the answer is “Yes.”

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Editorial by Rick King -

True technical analysts will tell you “numbers” won’t lie.  Numbers and their evolution through mathematical principles form the purest unbiased path to true direction in the markets.  Only human emotion can sway those numbers  (when analysts convey them).  Many analysts and retail investors alike will spend days staring at charts and fluctuations in the VIX (fear), Volume (liquidity), Moving Averages, and so on, because they misunderstand how easily large investment firms can artificially steer a security’s shares up or down with control of the VIX or Volume/Momentum.  Someday when I get more time I plan to go into greater detail regarding my study of market psychology.  Until then, just realize that you need to look beyond what you are being shown by the pundits on television.

Many market analysts will tell you they know beyond a shadow of a doubt what will happen to a given security.  Many are highly accurate when they don’t have an agenda, but that is a rare occurrence.  That’s the truest danger when basing your investments on “research by Google.”  A few keystrokes and mouse clicks can pull up almost any amount of information on a publicly traded company.  Unfortunately, those same companies out there that want your shares for their funds will leverage the internet for their own gain.  The worst cons will form the shell of a company, set it up to trade publicly (filling a few pockets with cash) and do what’s called a “pump and dump” strategy.  Releasing false, yet very convincing information via publishing channels to convince as many people as possible to buy or sell a stock.  For more on this issue please visit our website and discuss it in daily market chat with our staff or VIP members.

So what is my point? Glad you asked.  I alluded to the smoke and mirrors being used in the markets today to fleece retail investors from their hard-earned investments.  Case in point: A situation in Europe with deteriorating economic conditions that somehow miraculously is impacting the fundamental values of the U.S. securities not even loosely tied to Europe.  Fear is a wicked tool.  Let’s examine reality ie the truth:

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Sirius Chart Banging Its Head On The $1.00 Mark (NASDAQ:SIRI)

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By: Gino Lattarulo -

In a previous article I gave the opinion that Sirius XM Satellite Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI) was not too far from consistently remaining above the $ 1.00 mark.  I still believe this for a number of reasons: