Reverse Split Archive

3

Citigroup Attempts Improvements in Face of Mortgage Crisis

Share

Last month, Citigroup announced plans for a 10 for 1 reverse stock split, which will move the share price somewhere near $40 by reducing the number of outstanding shares from the current 29 billion to a much more reasonable number of 2.9 billion. Citigroup share price is down 92% from its 2006 high of $55.70 which was achieved with close to 5 billion shares outstanding. The reverse split will take effect May 6, Citigroup CEO Vikram Pandit believes that the reverse split, together with with the reinstatement of a penny per share dividend as an initial step are important first moves as the company anticipates returning capital to shareholders starting next year. Citigroup has paid back the $45 billion it received from the government in 2008; it cannot pay quarterly dividends of more than 1 cent a share until 2012 as a condition of the rescue. Citigroups dividends to shareholders had been as high as .49 cents prior to the 2008 economic meltdown, and in 2008 the dividend was .16 cents before the collapse. The last dividend the company paid was .01 cent in February of 2009.

Citigroup (NYSE:C) has been in the midst of righting itself since its collapse. TARP money and government favors permitted it to survive. However, CEO Vikram Pandit has steadily marched the company back from the dead over the course of the past 2 years. While not all of his decisions have been well received the results so far have been better than anticipated.  The company has focused much of its energy in the past two years on cutting off parts of its businesses that don’t fit with its main banking operation.

Unfortunately there are also recent reports that Citigroup continues to struggle with its mortgage business; the bank is still selling mortgages that violate quality standards, according to an internal Freddie Mac (OTCBB:FMCC) review obtained by Bloomberg in January.  Fifteen percent of the loans Citigroup sold to the government owned mortgage finance company in the second half of 2009 and the first half of 2010 had such flaws as missing appraisals, insurance documents or income miscalculations, according to a review of 375 mortgages. The target for defects should be about 5 percent, said Tim Rood, a former executive with Freddie’s sister agency Fannie Mae, and now managing director at Washington-based advisory firm Collingwood Group LLC.  Citigroup faces $100 million in payouts on the loans if customers demand refunds for mortgages that stop paying, according to Paul J. Miller of FBR Capital Markets in Arlington, Virginia. Miller based his estimate on the numbers in the Freddie Mac memo.

Also of note, Citigroup Inc. will raise as much as $273 million selling a stake in insurer Primerica Inc (NYSE:PRI). Citigroup is offering 12 million shares at $22.75 each.  Underwriters have the option of purchasing an additional 1.8 million Primerica shares from Citigroup. The bank will still hold 20.7 to 23.1 percent of Primerica after the sale.  Citigroup was the largest shareholder as of December 2010 with a 40 percent stake, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Primerica was part of Citi Holdings, the portfolio of businesses Pandit said he would sell, wind down or restructure in order to get back to a more core business model. Primerica, based in Duluth, Georgia, sells term life insurance and mutual funds. It sold 21.36 million shares at $15 each as part of its initial public offering in March 2010. Primerica has declined 3.4 percent this year overall.

Disclosure: No position in C or PRI

5

Sirius XM (NASDAQ:SIRI): Never Mind The Mainstream

Share

 

Over a year ago Sirius XM board member and Liberty CEO Greg Maffei was quoted as saying “Our Sirius investment has performed very well” and “We consider Sirius XM to be the anchor of our LCAPA stock portfolio.”  Since that time much has changed with regard to Sirius XM.  It has become an even stronger company by better managing its debt and growing its subscriber base. It is also interesting to note that none other than Jim Cramer did a piece back in late 2009 in which he discussed Sirius XM in the following way.  “If you like Sirius, do not play the common stock. The bonds are the best bet. Not that long ago, in the summer, Barclays put out a terrific piece about the 3.25% Sirius converts due 2011. These converts, which currently sell at 88, could be a great play on any turn, because they will get paid off at a nice gain. Barclays likes it because there is no other Sirius debt due ahead of it, and if it gets in trouble, Liberty Media, the new investor that injected capital, will make that debt good, because bankruptcy wrecks the principal asset that SIRI brings to the table: its gigantic operating loss. I am also drawn to the 9.625% notes that mature in 2013, a piece of paper that has zoomed in value since the decent quarter Sirius posted, and which trades more actively than all other bonds….

Now I am no fan of Jim Cramer, but I have to give credit where credit is due.  Even though he was wrong on the correct play, owning the stock from the same time frame would have netted you more total income, from a pure bond perspective he looked like Nostradamus on those two bond calls.  Both series of debt were addressed by the company with the most recent being the 3.25% convertibles, which are subject to an offer at a premium for early redemption this month.  What also has been happening lately is an incredibly blatant attempt to create falsely negative sentiment with regard to Sirius XM.  Let me start to address this negative smear campaign with the debt issue.  Debt is being reduced as we speak and will be in the next quarters filing, but I assure you that total long term debt, excluding related party is actually about 125 million less than showing, 2.57 billion this quarter already with the 3.25% redemption once it is complete vs. 2.695 billion reported in the 10K for fiscal 2010.  Add to the situation just released news in the proxy which shows a reverse split is off the table, and the poison pill is going to be left to expire as well.

Next, there is the ever popular story of cheaper internet radio services that are going to spell doom for Sirius XM.  Services like Pandora or Slacker are all cheaper than Sirius XM, yes that is true on one hand, but when you add the cost of streaming data charges, even if you have the rare unlimited data charge, the cost goes up on those services to the point where I would suggest you are getting less and paying more. Also, although I personally enjoy the variety of content on Sirius XM, I am sure there are plenty of folks out there who are happy just listening to their personal radio playlists and are willing to tolerate commercials.  There is always something for everyone to like or dislike. As the saying goes, one man’s trash is another man’s treasure.  Recent events have also taught us that Sirius XM does indeed intend to add value to the internet based service for all subscribers, and to differentiate it in some ways from the satellite platform. Adding the recent Limited engagements 2 channel to the internet version of the service shows intent to do just that.

Of course the biggest reasons to own SIRIUS XM common shares are the improving metrics and business model. The undeniable synergies created when the two companies merged, the free cash flow and EBITDA growth, as well as subscriber growth and additional revenue streams, which all bode well for the company’s dynamic turnaround and the future improvements in operations and infrastructure costs.

This smear campaign is about getting you and me, the common stock holders of SIRIUS XM to sell our shares on fear of bad news and get out leaving any future gains and cheap entry in the rear view mirror so that miscreants who write these negative articles and trade on fear have easier pickings as well as hedge funds, institutions, and wealthy investors that have missed the boat to this point. The choice belongs to you the retail investor. The SEC filings and recent events are all available for review right up to the Q4 2010 filing. All company filings can be viewed here (http://investor.siriusxm.com/reports.cfm). I would suggest that anyone who has an interest, take the time to review and read those filings. Specifically read the filings since the merger in 2008.  Once you do, you will most likely be glad to have read this article. The improvements are real tangible improvements, not hearsay from some bloggers on the internet. It also makes me wonder why people who dislike the service spend so much time harping the negative angle. Surely many folks out there can put two and two together.  I write these articles to help people get to the truth buried at the bottom of the pile of garbage that is disseminated in the mainstream media and on some blogs. Best of luck to all and do your own due diligence.

Disclosure: Long Siri

13

Sirius XM May Look to NASDAQ for Possible Exception of Minimum Bid Price Requirement

Share

By Relmor Demitrius -

Sirius XM enters this week with a lot of uncertainty in the air regarding its status on a potential reverse split, and what are exactly the dates of interest for them in determining their listing requirements.  This article will try to help answer some of those questions.   As is usually the case in the investment world, private investors are left to their own devices in determining facts and processing comments from management on these touchy investment issues.  Getting a straight answer out of a company on a highly volatile issue is a lesson in futility.  Sirius XM can only of course give the legal answer, the guarded response, or in most cases even the obvious answer.  There is potential in this situation for hints or motives of intent in regards to these issues.  We know the facts of the process of getting an exception and we know Sirius XM’s stated intent and opinion on the subject.

On the issue of the reverse split to stay delisting from the Nasdaq Global Market, Mel Karmazin, CEO of Sirius XM Radio (Nasdaq:SIRI), has been very vocal.  Regardless of the debate that a reverse stock split is good or bad for the company, let’s just focus on the rules and dates and comments from Mel in regards to this issue.

Mel Karmazin has stated time and time again, with absolutely no variance in his opinion, that Sirius XM will issue a reverse split,(the stockholders have voted management the authority to enact a reverse split to remain listed on the Nasdaq Global Market at any time prior to June 30th), only to avoid delisting.  It has been Sirius XM’s position they the company did not want to do one.

Mel has stated that he has been working with the SEC and the NASDAQ on a possible exception.

According to NASDAQ current bid price rules, Sirius XM can have up to 7 calendar days to file a request for a hearing to seek an exception, after March 15th passes.  As Mel has stated he is trying for an “extension”(it’s actually called an exception according to NASDAQ diction, of up to another 180 days from the expiration of the original non compliance period of 180 days that ends on March 15th(no one gets an exception indefinitely).  Since Mel has stated he intends to fight a forced reverse split I would expect the following to occur.  That gives a total of 360 days from September 17th to get the price over $1, if successful in their hearing.

Read the rest of this entry »

10

SIRI R/S Not Happening Any Time Soon

Share

There is one thing all investors need to know about securities law; anytime someone purposefully does something in order to make a stock go up or go down, they are doing something illegal. You can go to law school and study it for years, but that’s what it boils down to. You make educated bets on stocks based on the factual information you have, but you never purposefully make the price of a stock move in either direction or drive sentiment. That’s manipulation and it’s illegal. That is the first thing anyone needs to know about the stock market.

Very recently, at one of the other blogs and several of the main stream media outlets, an article calling for a reverse split on or about the Christmas holidays was written. After reading them, I could not disagree with the premise any more than I do. It is my intent to provide the facts of why this is a terrible idea…and why it is not going to happen in the time frame they suggest. From my perspective…people of that opinion do not belong holding shares of SIRIUS XM. You don’t do a r/s on weakness to artificially raise the stocks price over one dollar unless it is a matter of delisting and must be done to satisfy listing requirements. I am quite sure there are many long holders of SIRIUS XM who would agree. Actually I see the above scenario as a slap in the face for longs and a lack of belief in the company and its improving business and metrics.

Read the rest of this entry »